Early forecast · U19 Liga

Predicted 2026/27 Regular-Season Table

Name: U19 Boys Liga 2026/27 Forecast
Creator: PlayerSignal

A forecast of the table when the regular season ends, before the playoffs. It is based on this season's results, opponent strength and the players available to each team, and updates after every played match.

Low certainty10,000 possible outcomesUpdated 04/09/2026

23matches played

73matches remaining

24%schedule completed

Lowcurrent certainty

10,000possible outcomes tested

Race for places 1-6OB 45%FC Nordsjælland is next at 38.2%

Highest chance of places 13-16HB Køge 91.5%Team currently most likely to finish in this range

Biggest expected riseAC HorsensCurrent 14 · forecast 10.4

Forecast table

PPG makes teams with different numbers of matches comparable. The range shows where the team finished in 8 out of 10 tested outcomes.

DBU schedule ↗

Forecast	Club	Current	PPG	Expected finish	Most likely range	Finishing chances
Places 1-6
1Down 1.4	Vejle Why here? Neutral strength: #1 · 1553Last season: 821 returning players	13 played	3.009 total pts	2.41-5 range	Places 1-694.1% chance	1-6 94.1%7-12 5.7%13-16 0.3%
2Down 1.6	Silkeborg Why here? Neutral strength: #2 · 1530Last season: 417 returning players	32 played	3.006 total pts	4.61-10 range	Places 1-674.6% chance	1-6 74.6%7-12 22.6%13-16 2.9%
3Up 1.1	AaB Why here? Neutral strength: #4 · 1516Last season: 1018 returning players	72 played	2.004 total pts	5.92-11 range	Places 1-661% chance	1-6 61%7-12 32.8%13-16 6.2%
4Down 3.9	Sønderjyske Fodbold Why here? Neutral strength: #6 · 1511Last season: 1417 returning players	23 played	2.006 total pts	5.92-11 range	Places 1-660.6% chance	1-6 60.6%7-12 34.2%13-16 5.2%
5Down 1.8	FC København Why here? Neutral strength: #3 · 1527Last season: 220 returning players	53 played	1.334 total pts	6.82-12 range	Places 1-651.1% chance	1-6 51.1%7-12 39.8%13-16 9.1%
6Up 2.6	OB Why here? Neutral strength: #7 · 1508Last season: 316 returning players	102 played	1.503 total pts	7.42-13 range	Places 1-645% chance	1-6 45%7-12 42.1%13-16 12.8%
Places 7-12
7Down 2	FC Nordsjælland Why here? Neutral strength: #5 · 1516Last season: 116 returning players	63 played	1.334 total pts	83-13 range	Places 7-1245.9% chance	1-6 38.2%7-12 45.9%13-16 15.8%
8Up 2.2	Randers Freja FC Why here? Neutral strength: #12 · 1492Last season: 1116 returning players	112 played	1.503 total pts	8.83-14 range	Places 7-1247.4% chance	1-6 31.6%7-12 47.4%13-16 21%
9Down 0.8	FC Midtjylland Why here? Neutral strength: #9 · 1495Last season: 615 returning players	83 played	1.334 total pts	8.83-14 range	Places 7-1248.4% chance	1-6 31%7-12 48.4%13-16 20.6%
10Stable	Lyngby Why here? Neutral strength: #11 · 1492Last season: 1217 returning players	93 played	1.334 total pts	9.34-14 range	Places 7-1248.3% chance	1-6 27.2%7-12 48.3%13-16 24.5%
11Up 3.5	AGF Why here? Neutral strength: #10 · 1493Last season: 521 returning players	133 played	1.003 total pts	9.54-15 range	Places 7-1248.7% chance	1-6 24.5%7-12 48.7%13-16 26.8%
12Down 5.6	Brøndby Why here? Neutral strength: #8 · 1500Last season: 718 returning players	44 played	1.255 total pts	9.64-14 range	Places 7-1251.1% chance	1-6 22.3%7-12 51.1%13-16 26.7%
Places 13-16
13Up 3.6	AC Horsens Why here? Neutral strength: #14 · 1479Last season: 1319 returning players	143 played	1.003 total pts	10.45-15 range	Places 7-1246.2% chance	1-6 17.7%7-12 46.2%13-16 36.1%
14Up 1.2	Viborg FF Why here? Neutral strength: #13 · 1487No equivalent last-season position20 returning players	123 played	1.003 total pts	10.85-15 range	Places 7-1246.4% chance	1-6 14.9%7-12 46.4%13-16 38.7%
15Up 2.4	Esbjerg Why here? Neutral strength: #15 · 1465Last season: 918 returning players	153 played	0.672 total pts	12.68-16 range	Places 13-1662.1% chance	1-6 5.8%7-12 32.2%13-16 62.1%
16Up 1	HB Køge Why here? Neutral strength: #16 · 1439No equivalent last-season position14 returning players	164 played	0.251 total pts	1513-16 range	Places 13-1691.5% chance	1-6 0.3%7-12 8.2%13-16 91.5%

Tested on past seasons

We test the forecast by replaying completed U17/U19 seasons from the same point in the calendar. At each checkpoint it only sees facts that were available then: results, opponent strength, player continuity and the remaining schedule.

2.39PlayerSignal · average position error9.8% closer than using the points-per-game table only

2.58Club strength only

2.65Current table pace only

How to read it: lower is better. A score of 2.39 means the average club finished about two to three places away from the forecast. The comparison cards show whether the full PlayerSignal forecast beats simpler shortcuts.

Backtest: 2025/26 and 2024/25 · U17/U19 Liga and Division · 10,000 possible season outcomes at every checkpoint.

How the forecast is calculated

The forecast adjusts current results for opponent strength and capped score margin, then combines them with a shrinking previous-season prior and each returning player's latest 10 validated U17/U19 matches. It tests 10,000 possible final tables.

20.3%last season's U19 Liga table

69.6%current results and opponent strength

10.1%players returning from last season

+35rating points for the home team

This is an early estimate, not a final result. It forecasts where each U19 Boys Liga team could finish, with cut lines after places 6 and 12.