Early forecast · U19 Liga

Predicted 2026/27 Regular-Season Table

Name: U19 Boys Liga 2026/27 Forecast
Creator: PlayerSignal

A forecast of the table when the regular season ends, before the playoffs. It is based on this season's results, opponent strength and the players available to each team, and updates after every played match.

Medium certainty10,000 possible outcomesUpdated 23/09/2026

45matches played

51matches remaining

46.9%schedule completed

Mediumcurrent certainty

10,000possible outcomes tested

Race for places 1-6FC Midtjylland 35.1%OB is next at 31.7%

Highest chance of places 13-16HB Køge 90.7%Team currently most likely to finish in this range

Biggest expected riseAGFCurrent 10 · forecast 7.4

Forecast table

PPG makes teams with different numbers of matches comparable. The range shows where the team finished in 8 out of 10 tested outcomes.

DBU schedule ↗

Forecast	Club	Current	PPG	Expected finish	Most likely range	Finishing chances
Places 1-6
1Down 1.2	Vejle Why here? Neutral strength: #1 · 1560Last season: 824 returning players	17 played	2.2916 total pts	2.21-4 range	Places 1-699% chance	1-6 99%7-12 1%13-16 0%
2Down 0.8	FC København Why here? Neutral strength: #2 · 1558Last season: 226 returning players	27 played	2.0014 total pts	2.81-5 range	Places 1-696.7% chance	1-6 96.7%7-12 3.3%13-16 0%
3Stable	Sønderjyske Fodbold Why here? Neutral strength: #3 · 1546Last season: 1418 returning players	36 played	2.1713 total pts	3.21-6 range	Places 1-693.7% chance	1-6 93.7%7-12 6.3%13-16 0%
4Stable	AaB Why here? Neutral strength: #4 · 1541Last season: 1025 returning players	46 played	2.0012 total pts	3.91-7 range	Places 1-688.4% chance	1-6 88.4%7-12 11.5%13-16 0.1%
5Up 2.6	AGF Why here? Neutral strength: #7 · 1503Last season: 523 returning players	105 played	1.407 total pts	7.44-12 range	Places 7-1248.8% chance	1-6 44.4%7-12 48.8%13-16 6.9%
6Up 1	FC Midtjylland Why here? Neutral strength: #8 · 1499Last season: 616 returning players	95 played	1.407 total pts	84-12 range	Places 7-1256.3% chance	1-6 35.1%7-12 56.3%13-16 8.6%
Places 7-12
7Stable	OB Why here? Neutral strength: #6 · 1504Last season: 319 returning players	85 played	1.407 total pts	8.34-13 range	Places 7-1257% chance	1-6 31.7%7-12 57%13-16 11.3%
8Down 3.6	FC Nordsjælland Why here? Neutral strength: #5 · 1509Last season: 118 returning players	56 played	1.338 total pts	8.65-13 range	Places 7-1263% chance	1-6 26%7-12 63%13-16 11%
9Down 2.7	Lyngby Why here? Neutral strength: #9 · 1497Last season: 1219 returning players	66 played	1.338 total pts	8.75-13 range	Places 7-1261.6% chance	1-6 25.5%7-12 61.6%13-16 12.9%
10Down 2.2	Brøndby Why here? Neutral strength: #10 · 1496Last season: 720 returning players	76 played	1.338 total pts	9.25-13 range	Places 7-1263.3% chance	1-6 20.4%7-12 63.3%13-16 16.3%
11Up 2.6	Randers Freja FC Why here? Neutral strength: #11 · 1482Last season: 1119 returning players	125 played	1.206 total pts	9.45-14 range	Places 7-1259.7% chance	1-6 20.9%7-12 59.7%13-16 19.4%
12Stable	Silkeborg Why here? Neutral strength: #12 · 1478Last season: 419 returning players	116 played	1.177 total pts	10.87-14 range	Places 7-1257.9% chance	1-6 9.8%7-12 57.9%13-16 32.4%
Places 13-16
13Up 1.2	Viborg FF Why here? Neutral strength: #13 · 1477No equivalent last-season position21 returning players	135 played	0.804 total pts	11.88-15 range	Places 7-1248% chance	1-6 5%7-12 48%13-16 47.1%
14Up 0.8	AC Horsens Why here? Neutral strength: #15 · 1451Last season: 1321 returning players	145 played	0.603 total pts	13.210-16 range	Places 13-1668% chance	1-6 1.8%7-12 30.2%13-16 68%
15Up 2.3	Esbjerg Why here? Neutral strength: #14 · 1456Last season: 920 returning players	164 played	0.502 total pts	13.710-16 range	Places 13-1675.5% chance	1-6 1.6%7-12 22.9%13-16 75.5%
16Stable	HB Køge Why here? Neutral strength: #16 · 1443No equivalent last-season position18 returning players	156 played	0.332 total pts	14.813-16 range	Places 13-1690.7% chance	1-6 0.1%7-12 9.3%13-16 90.7%

Tested on past seasons

We test the forecast by replaying completed U17/U19 seasons from the same point in the calendar. At each checkpoint it only sees facts that were available then: results, opponent strength, player continuity and the remaining schedule.

2.39PlayerSignal · average position error9.8% closer than using the points-per-game table only

2.58Club strength only

2.65Current table pace only

How to read it: lower is better. A score of 2.39 means the average club finished about two to three places away from the forecast. The comparison cards show whether the full PlayerSignal forecast beats simpler shortcuts.

Backtest: 2025/26 and 2024/25 · U17/U19 Liga and Division · 10,000 possible season outcomes at every checkpoint.

How the forecast is calculated

The forecast adjusts current results for opponent strength and capped score margin, then combines them with a shrinking previous-season prior and each returning player's latest 10 validated U17/U19 matches. It tests 10,000 possible final tables.

15.5%last season's U19 Liga table

76.8%current results and opponent strength

7.7%players returning from last season

+35rating points for the home team

This is an early estimate, not a final result. It forecasts where each U19 Boys Liga team could finish, with cut lines after places 6 and 12.