Early forecast · U17 Liga

Predicted 2026/27 Regular-Season Table

Name: U17 Boys Liga 2026/27 Forecast
Creator: PlayerSignal

A forecast of the table when the regular season ends, before the playoffs. It is based on this season's results, opponent strength and the players available to each team, and updates after every played match.

Low certainty10,000 possible outcomesUpdated 04/09/2026

17matches played

79matches remaining

17.7%schedule completed

Lowcurrent certainty

10,000possible outcomes tested

Race for places 1-6AGF 48.1%FC Midtjylland is next at 35%

Highest chance of places 13-16Esbjerg 67.6%Team currently most likely to finish in this range

Biggest expected riseAaBCurrent 16 · forecast 12.2

Forecast table

PPG makes teams with different numbers of matches comparable. The range shows where the team finished in 8 out of 10 tested outcomes.

DBU schedule ↗

Forecast	Club	Current	PPG	Expected finish	Most likely range	Finishing chances
Places 1-6
1Down 2	HB Køge Why here? Neutral strength: #1 · 1546No equivalent last-season position16 returning players	13 played	3.009 total pts	31-6 range	Places 1-690.9% chance	1-6 90.9%7-12 8.8%13-16 0.3%
2Down 1.5	FC Nordsjælland Why here? Neutral strength: #2 · 1545Last season: 415 returning players	22 played	3.006 total pts	3.51-7 range	Places 1-686.7% chance	1-6 86.7%7-12 12.6%13-16 0.6%
3Down 1.7	Vejle Why here? Neutral strength: #4 · 1533Last season: 713 returning players	32 played	3.006 total pts	4.71-9 range	Places 1-674.9% chance	1-6 74.9%7-12 23%13-16 2.1%
4Stable	FC København Why here? Neutral strength: #3 · 1537Last season: 114 returning players	62 played	1.503 total pts	6.22-11 range	Places 1-657.4% chance	1-6 57.4%7-12 36.5%13-16 6.2%
5Down 2.5	Brøndby Why here? Neutral strength: #5 · 1524Last season: 312 returning players	42 played	2.004 total pts	6.52-12 range	Places 1-653.7% chance	1-6 53.7%7-12 39.4%13-16 6.8%
6Down 2	AGF Why here? Neutral strength: #6 · 1511Last season: 89 returning players	52 played	2.004 total pts	72-12 range	Places 1-648.1% chance	1-6 48.1%7-12 42.6%13-16 9.3%
Places 7-12
7Up 0.7	FC Midtjylland Why here? Neutral strength: #8 · 1507Last season: 912 returning players	92 played	1.503 total pts	8.33-14 range	Places 7-1249.1% chance	1-6 35%7-12 49.1%13-16 15.9%
8Down 1.3	Lyngby Why here? Neutral strength: #11 · 1486Last season: 1112 returning players	72 played	1.503 total pts	8.33-14 range	Places 7-1248.9% chance	1-6 34.7%7-12 48.9%13-16 16.4%
9Up 3.5	OB Why here? Neutral strength: #7 · 1510Last season: 212 returning players	122 played	0.501 total pts	8.53-14 range	Places 7-1249.1% chance	1-6 33.2%7-12 49.1%13-16 17.8%
10Down 1.7	Viborg FF Why here? Neutral strength: #10 · 1486No equivalent last-season position11 returning players	82 played	1.503 total pts	9.75-15 range	Places 7-1251.3% chance	1-6 21.7%7-12 51.3%13-16 27%
11Up 3	Silkeborg Why here? Neutral strength: #9 · 1498Last season: 513 returning players	132 played	0.501 total pts	105-15 range	Places 7-1249.9% chance	1-6 20%7-12 49.9%13-16 30.2%
12Stable	Sønderjyske Fodbold Why here? Neutral strength: #12 · 1470Last season: 1211 returning players	102 played	1.503 total pts	10.35-15 range	Places 7-1249% chance	1-6 18.1%7-12 49%13-16 32.9%
Places 13-16
13Down 0.8	Randers Freja FC Why here? Neutral strength: #14 · 1467Last season: 69 returning players	112 played	0.501 total pts	11.87-16 range	Places 13-1649.9% chance	1-6 9.3%7-12 40.8%13-16 49.9%
14Up 3.8	AaB Why here? Neutral strength: #13 · 1469Last season: 1014 returning players	162 played	0.000 total pts	12.27-16 range	Places 13-1655.4% chance	1-6 7.8%7-12 36.9%13-16 55.4%
15Up 2.3	AC Horsens Why here? Neutral strength: #16 · 1454Last season: 1311 returning players	152 played	0.000 total pts	12.78-16 range	Places 13-1661.5% chance	1-6 5.2%7-12 33.3%13-16 61.5%
16Up 0.8	Esbjerg Why here? Neutral strength: #15 · 1457Last season: 1413 returning players	143 played	0.331 total pts	13.29-16 range	Places 13-1667.6% chance	1-6 3.5%7-12 28.9%13-16 67.6%

Tested on past seasons

We test the forecast by replaying completed U17/U19 seasons from the same point in the calendar. At each checkpoint it only sees facts that were available then: results, opponent strength, player continuity and the remaining schedule.

2.39PlayerSignal · average position error9.8% closer than using the points-per-game table only

2.58Club strength only

2.65Current table pace only

How to read it: lower is better. A score of 2.39 means the average club finished about two to three places away from the forecast. The comparison cards show whether the full PlayerSignal forecast beats simpler shortcuts.

Backtest: 2025/26 and 2024/25 · U17/U19 Liga and Division · 10,000 possible season outcomes at every checkpoint.

How the forecast is calculated

The forecast adjusts current results for opponent strength and capped score margin, then combines them with a shrinking previous-season prior and each returning player's latest 10 validated U17/U19 matches. It tests 10,000 possible final tables.

22.2%last season's U17 Liga table

66.8%current results and opponent strength

11.1%players returning from last season

+35rating points for the home team

This is an early estimate, not a final result. It forecasts where each U17 Boys Liga team could finish, with cut lines after places 6 and 12.