Early forecast · U17 Division

Predicted 2026/27 Regular-Season Table

Name: U17 Boys Division 2026/27 Forecast
Creator: PlayerSignal

A forecast of the table when the regular season ends, before the playoffs. It is based on this season's results, opponent strength and the players available to each team, and updates after every played match.

Low certainty10,000 possible outcomesUpdated 04/09/2026

22matches played

98matches remaining

18.3%schedule completed

Lowcurrent certainty

10,000possible outcomes tested

Race for places 1-2Roskilde 31.6%AC Amager Academy is next at 24.3%

Top-two favouriteAB 66.7%Highest current probability of finishing in places 1-2

Biggest expected riseNykøbing FCCurrent 12 · forecast 8.7

Forecast table

PPG makes teams with different numbers of matches comparable. The range shows where the team finished in 8 out of 10 tested outcomes.

DBU schedule ↗

Forecast	Club	Current	PPG	Expected finish	Most likely range	Finishing chances
Places 1-2
1Down 1.5	AB Why here? Neutral strength: #1 · 1555Last season: 314 returning players	13 played	3.009 total pts	2.51-5 range	Places 1-266.7% chance	1-2 66.7%3-16 33.3%
2Down 1.6	Roskilde Why here? Neutral strength: #2 · 1530Last season: 813 returning players	33 played	2.337 total pts	4.61-9 range	Places 3-1668.4% chance	1-2 31.6%3-16 68.4%
Places 3-16
3Down 3.2	AC Amager Academy Why here? Neutral strength: #4 · 1523Last season: 1114 returning players	23 played	2.337 total pts	5.21-10 range	Places 3-1675.7% chance	1-2 24.3%3-16 75.7%
4Down 0.6	HIK Why here? Neutral strength: #3 · 1525Last season: 513 returning players	53 played	2.006 total pts	5.62-11 range	Places 3-1679.2% chance	1-2 20.8%3-16 79.2%
5Down 1.9	Næstved Why here? Neutral strength: #7 · 1513Last season: 1311 returning players	43 played	2.006 total pts	5.92-11 range	Places 3-1681.4% chance	1-2 18.6%3-16 81.4%
6Up 2.1	B.93 Why here? Neutral strength: #6 · 1513Last season: 114 returning players	103 played	1.003 total pts	7.93-13 range	Places 3-1693% chance	1-2 7%3-16 93%
7Stable	Hobro IK Why here? Neutral strength: #5 · 1518Last season: 216 returning players	83 played	1.334 total pts	83-13 range	Places 3-1693.4% chance	1-2 6.6%3-16 93.4%
8Down 2.4	Kolding IF Why here? Neutral strength: #8 · 1503Last season: 99 returning players	63 played	1.334 total pts	8.43-13 range	Places 3-1694.9% chance	1-2 5.1%3-16 94.9%
9Up 2.5	Hvidovre IF Why here? Neutral strength: #9 · 1502Last season: 73 returning players	112 played	1.503 total pts	8.53-14 range	Places 3-1694.2% chance	1-2 5.9%3-16 94.2%
10Up 3.3	Nykøbing FC Why here? Neutral strength: #11 · 1494Last season: 108 returning players	122 played	1.503 total pts	8.73-14 range	Places 3-1694.3% chance	1-2 5.7%3-16 94.3%
11Down 1.8	FC Helsingør Why here? Neutral strength: #10 · 1495Last season: 1513 returning players	73 played	1.334 total pts	8.84-14 range	Places 3-1695.5% chance	1-2 4.5%3-16 95.5%
12Down 1.2	IF Lyseng Why here? Neutral strength: #12 · 1486Last season: 129 returning players	94 played	1.004 total pts	10.25-14 range	Places 3-1698.3% chance	1-2 1.7%3-16 98.3%
13Up 1.6	Vendsyssel FF Why here? Neutral strength: #13 · 1474No equivalent last-season position0 returning players	132 played	1.002 total pts	11.46-15 range	Places 3-1699% chance	1-2 1.1%3-16 99%
14Up 0.9	Hørsholm-Usserød IK Why here? Neutral strength: #16 · 1451No equivalent last-season position0 returning players	142 played	0.000 total pts	13.19-16 range	Places 3-1699.8% chance	1-2 0.2%3-16 99.8%
15Up 1.7	SfB-Oure FA Why here? Neutral strength: #14 · 1457Last season: 164 returning players	152 played	0.000 total pts	13.39-16 range	Places 3-1699.8% chance	1-2 0.2%3-16 99.8%
16Up 2	Næsby Why here? Neutral strength: #15 · 1452Last season: 1413 returning players	163 played	0.000 total pts	1411-16 range	Places 3-1699.9% chance	1-2 0.1%3-16 99.9%

Tested on past seasons

We test the forecast by replaying completed U17/U19 seasons from the same point in the calendar. At each checkpoint it only sees facts that were available then: results, opponent strength, player continuity and the remaining schedule.

2.39PlayerSignal · average position error9.8% closer than using the points-per-game table only

2.58Club strength only

2.65Current table pace only

How to read it: lower is better. A score of 2.39 means the average club finished about two to three places away from the forecast. The comparison cards show whether the full PlayerSignal forecast beats simpler shortcuts.

Backtest: 2025/26 and 2024/25 · U17/U19 Liga and Division · 10,000 possible season outcomes at every checkpoint.

How the forecast is calculated

The forecast adjusts current results for opponent strength and capped score margin, then combines them with a shrinking previous-season prior and each returning player's latest 10 validated U17/U19 matches. It tests 10,000 possible final tables.

20.6%last season's U17 Division table

69.1%current results and opponent strength

10.3%players returning from last season

+35rating points for the home team

This is an early estimate, not a final result. It forecasts where each U17 Boys Division team could finish, with a cut line after place 2.