Early forecast · U17 Division

Predicted 2026/27 Regular-Season Table

Name: U17 Boys Division 2026/27 Forecast
Creator: PlayerSignal

A forecast of the table when the regular season ends, before the playoffs. It is based on this season's results, opponent strength and the players available to each team, and updates after every played match.

Medium certainty10,000 possible outcomesUpdated 23/09/2026

45matches played

75matches remaining

37.5%schedule completed

Mediumcurrent certainty

10,000possible outcomes tested

Race for places 1-2Hobro IK 34.5%FC Helsingør is next at 30.1%

Top-two favouriteAB 81.9%Highest current probability of finishing in places 1-2

Biggest expected riseNæstvedCurrent 11 · forecast 9.1

Forecast table

PPG makes teams with different numbers of matches comparable. The range shows where the team finished in 8 out of 10 tested outcomes.

DBU schedule ↗

Forecast	Club	Current	PPG	Expected finish	Most likely range	Finishing chances
Places 1-2
1Down 0.7	AB Why here? Neutral strength: #1 · 1572Last season: 315 returning players	16 played	2.6716 total pts	1.71-3 range	Places 1-281.9% chance	1-2 81.9%3-16 18.2%
2Down 0.7	Hobro IK Why here? Neutral strength: #2 · 1556Last season: 217 returning players	36 played	2.1713 total pts	3.71-7 range	Places 3-1665.5% chance	1-2 34.5%3-16 65.5%
Places 3-16
3Stable	FC Helsingør Why here? Neutral strength: #4 · 1538Last season: 1514 returning players	46 played	2.1713 total pts	4.12-7 range	Places 3-1669.9% chance	1-2 30.1%3-16 69.9%
4Down 2.2	Roskilde Why here? Neutral strength: #3 · 1540Last season: 813 returning players	26 played	2.1713 total pts	4.22-8 range	Places 3-1673.4% chance	1-2 26.6%3-16 73.4%
5Stable	HIK Why here? Neutral strength: #5 · 1529Last season: 513 returning players	56 played	2.0012 total pts	5.32-9 range	Places 3-1686.6% chance	1-2 13.4%3-16 86.6%
6Stable	B.93 Why here? Neutral strength: #7 · 1511Last season: 116 returning players	76 played	1.509 total pts	7.24-11 range	Places 3-1696.4% chance	1-2 3.6%3-16 96.4%
7Down 1.3	AC Amager Academy Why here? Neutral strength: #6 · 1514Last season: 1114 returning players	66 played	1.6710 total pts	7.34-11 range	Places 3-1696.1% chance	1-2 3.9%3-16 96.1%
8Stable	Vendsyssel FF Why here? Neutral strength: #8 · 1509No equivalent last-season position0 returning players	85 played	1.608 total pts	7.74-12 range	Places 3-1696.9% chance	1-2 3.1%3-16 96.9%
9Up 1	Hvidovre IF Why here? Neutral strength: #9 · 1498Last season: 75 returning players	105 played	1.407 total pts	95-13 range	Places 3-1698.6% chance	1-2 1.4%3-16 98.6%
10Up 1.9	Næstved Why here? Neutral strength: #10 · 1494Last season: 1311 returning players	116 played	1.177 total pts	9.15-13 range	Places 3-1699.2% chance	1-2 0.8%3-16 99.2%
11Down 0.8	IF Lyseng Why here? Neutral strength: #11 · 1491Last season: 1210 returning players	96 played	1.177 total pts	9.86-13 range	Places 3-1699.5% chance	1-2 0.5%3-16 99.5%
12Up 1.3	Kolding IF Why here? Neutral strength: #12 · 1472Last season: 911 returning players	135 played	0.804 total pts	11.78-15 range	Places 3-16100% chance	1-2 0%3-16 100%
13Stable	Nykøbing FC Why here? Neutral strength: #13 · 1465Last season: 109 returning players	125 played	0.804 total pts	12.29-15 range	Places 3-16100% chance	1-2 0.1%3-16 100%
14Up 0.6	SfB-Oure FA Why here? Neutral strength: #14 · 1446Last season: 164 returning players	145 played	0.603 total pts	13.411-16 range	Places 3-16100% chance	1-2 0%3-16 100%
15Up 0.7	Hørsholm-Usserød IK Why here? Neutral strength: #15 · 1437No equivalent last-season position0 returning players	155 played	0.201 total pts	14.312-16 range	Places 3-16100% chance	1-2 0%3-16 100%
16Up 0.8	Næsby Why here? Neutral strength: #16 · 1423Last season: 1413 returning players	166 played	0.171 total pts	15.214-16 range	Places 3-16100% chance	1-2 0%3-16 100%

Tested on past seasons

We test the forecast by replaying completed U17/U19 seasons from the same point in the calendar. At each checkpoint it only sees facts that were available then: results, opponent strength, player continuity and the remaining schedule.

2.39PlayerSignal · average position error9.8% closer than using the points-per-game table only

2.58Club strength only

2.65Current table pace only

How to read it: lower is better. A score of 2.39 means the average club finished about two to three places away from the forecast. The comparison cards show whether the full PlayerSignal forecast beats simpler shortcuts.

Backtest: 2025/26 and 2024/25 · U17/U19 Liga and Division · 10,000 possible season outcomes at every checkpoint.

How the forecast is calculated

The forecast adjusts current results for opponent strength and capped score margin, then combines them with a shrinking previous-season prior and each returning player's latest 10 validated U17/U19 matches. It tests 10,000 possible final tables.

15.5%last season's U17 Division table

76.8%current results and opponent strength

7.7%players returning from last season

+35rating points for the home team

This is an early estimate, not a final result. It forecasts where each U17 Boys Division team could finish, with a cut line after place 2.