Early forecast · U19 Division

Predicted 2026/27 Regular-Season Table

A forecast of the table when the regular season ends, before the playoffs. It is based on this season's results, opponent strength and the players available to each team, and updates after every played match.

Low certainty10,000 possible outcomesUpdated 04/09/2026
Follow U19 Division
21matches played
99matches remaining
17.5%schedule completed
Lowcurrent certainty
10,000possible outcomes tested
Top-two favouriteB.93 66.9%Highest current probability of finishing in places 1-2
Biggest expected riseHvidovre IFCurrent 11 · forecast 8

Forecast table

PPG makes teams with different numbers of matches comparable. The range shows where the team finished in 8 out of 10 tested outcomes.

DBU schedule ↗
ForecastClubCurrentPPGExpected finishMost likely rangeFinishing chances
Places 1-2
1Down 1.4
B.93
Why here?
Neutral strength: #1 · 1555Last season: 1218 returning players
13 played 3.009 total pts 2.41-5 range Places 1-266.9% chance
1-2 66.9%3-16 33.1%
2Up 1.5
Kolding IF
Why here?
Neutral strength: #2 · 1546Last season: 313 returning players
52 played 3.006 total pts 3.51-7 range Places 3-1655.5% chance
1-2 44.5%3-16 55.5%
Places 3-16
3Down 3.1
Roskilde
Why here?
Neutral strength: #3 · 1530Last season: 713 returning players
23 played 2.337 total pts 5.12-9 range Places 3-1677.7% chance
1-2 22.4%3-16 77.7%
4Down 2.4
AB
Why here?
Neutral strength: #5 · 1524Last season: 815 returning players
33 played 2.006 total pts 5.42-10 range Places 3-1680.8% chance
1-2 19.2%3-16 80.8%
5Down 1.9
Hobro IK
Why here?
Neutral strength: #4 · 1526Last season: 1016 returning players
43 played 2.006 total pts 5.92-10 range Places 3-1685.1% chance
1-2 14.9%3-16 85.1%
6Stable
Næsby
Why here?
Neutral strength: #6 · 1517Last season: 616 returning players
63 played 2.006 total pts 62-10 range Places 3-1686.1% chance
1-2 14%3-16 86.1%
7Up 3
Hvidovre IF
Why here?
Neutral strength: #7 · 1507Last season: 916 returning players
112 played 1.503 total pts 83-13 range Places 3-1694.2% chance
1-2 5.8%3-16 94.2%
8Down 2.2
AC Amager Academy
Why here?
Neutral strength: #10 · 1490Last season: 1318 returning players
73 played 1.334 total pts 9.24-14 range Places 3-1697.4% chance
1-2 2.6%3-16 97.4%
9Stable
HIK
Why here?
Neutral strength: #8 · 1502Last season: 514 returning players
93 played 1.003 total pts 9.24-14 range Places 3-1697.7% chance
1-2 2.3%3-16 97.7%
10Up 0.5
Nykøbing FC
Why here?
Neutral strength: #11 · 1481Last season: 1418 returning players
102 played 1.503 total pts 9.55-14 range Places 3-1697.4% chance
1-2 2.6%3-16 97.4%
11Up 2.5
FC Helsingør
Why here?
Neutral strength: #9 · 1498Last season: 218 returning players
123 played 1.003 total pts 9.55-14 range Places 3-1697.6% chance
1-2 2.5%3-16 97.6%
12Down 2.3
Vendsyssel FF
Why here?
Neutral strength: #13 · 1477No equivalent last-season position0 returning players
82 played 1.503 total pts 10.36-15 range Places 3-1698.6% chance
1-2 1.4%3-16 98.6%
13Up 1.9
IF Lyseng
Why here?
Neutral strength: #12 · 1480Last season: 1111 returning players
133 played 1.003 total pts 11.17-15 range Places 3-1699.3% chance
1-2 0.7%3-16 99.3%
14Up 0.8
Hørsholm-Usserød IK
Why here?
Neutral strength: #14 · 1448No equivalent last-season position0 returning players
142 played 0.000 total pts 13.29-16 range Places 3-1699.9% chance
1-2 0.1%3-16 99.9%
15Up 2.5
SfB-Oure FA
Why here?
Neutral strength: #15 · 1444Last season: 1616 returning players
162 played 0.000 total pts 13.510-16 range Places 3-1699.9% chance
1-2 0.1%3-16 99.9%
16Up 0.8
Næstved
Why here?
Neutral strength: #16 · 1437Last season: 1516 returning players
153 played 0.000 total pts 14.211-16 range Places 3-16100% chance
1-2 0%3-16 100%

Tested on past seasons

We test the forecast by replaying completed U17/U19 seasons from the same point in the calendar. At each checkpoint it only sees facts that were available then: results, opponent strength, player continuity and the remaining schedule.

2.39PlayerSignal · average position error9.8% closer than using the points-per-game table only
2.58Club strength only
2.65Current table pace only
How to read it: lower is better. A score of 2.39 means the average club finished about two to three places away from the forecast. The comparison cards show whether the full PlayerSignal forecast beats simpler shortcuts.
Backtest: 2025/26 and 2024/25 · U17/U19 Liga and Division · 10,000 possible season outcomes at every checkpoint.

How the forecast is calculated

The forecast adjusts current results for opponent strength and capped score margin, then combines them with a shrinking previous-season prior and each returning player's latest 10 validated U17/U19 matches. It tests 10,000 possible final tables.

20.9%last season's U19 Division table
68.7%current results and opponent strength
10.4%players returning from last season
+35rating points for the home team
This is an early estimate, not a final result. It forecasts where each U19 Boys Division team could finish, with a cut line after place 2.